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Cboe Global Markets, Inc. (CBOE)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Record quarter: net revenue $605.5m (+14% y/y), adjusted EPS $2.67 (+20% y/y), operating margin expanded 340 bps to 61.2% on GAAP and 360 bps to 65.3% on adjusted basis . Derivatives (+15% y/y) and Data Vantage (+12% y/y) led growth; Cash & Spot +14% y/y .
  • Estimates beat: Adjusted EPS $2.67 vs S&P Global consensus $2.53*; net revenue $605.5m vs S&P Global revenue consensus $592.4m*; adjusted operating EBITDA $409.0m vs S&P Global EBITDA consensus $386.5m* (see Estimates Context) . Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Guidance raised/lowered: 2025 organic total net revenue growth raised to “low double-digit to mid-teens”; Data Vantage growth raised to “high single-digit to low double-digit”; adjusted opex lowered to $827–$842m; capex and D&A also lowered; tax-rate guidance reaffirmed .
  • Strategic realignment: Begin sale processes for Cboe Australia and Cboe Canada; exit U.S. and European corporate listings; trim costs in ETP listings, Cboe Europe Derivatives, and smaller analytics businesses; expected annualized ~3% revenue reduction but ~8–10% adjusted opex reduction (baseline: 2025 guidance) . Narrative catalyst centers on refocus to core derivatives, expense discipline, and higher-growth adjacencies (retail, data, product innovation) .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Options franchise momentum: Options net revenue +19% y/y to $380.8m on total options ADV +26%, with index options ADV +15% and multi‑listed options ADV +31% . “Cboe produced a third consecutive quarter of record net revenue to drive record diluted EPS and adjusted diluted EPS” — CFO Jill Griebenow .
  • Data Vantage durability: Net revenue +12% y/y; nearly 90% of growth driven by new unit and new sales (not pricing) per prepared remarks on the call script .
  • Broader raise/lower: Company raised 2025 organic net revenue growth and Data Vantage growth ranges and lowered adjusted opex, D&A (ex-acquired intangibles), and capex — signaling operational leverage and disciplined spend .

What Went Wrong

  • Futures softness: Futures net revenue fell 22% y/y on ADV –27% and lower transaction/clearing fees .
  • Mix pressure on options RPC: Total options RPC declined 6% y/y as index options represented a lower share of total options volume (mix shift) .
  • U.S. equities share/capture: U.S. on-exchange equities market share declined to 9.8% (from 10.9% y/y) amid higher industry off‑exchange share; off-exchange net capture also trended lower vs earlier quarters .

Financial Results

Headline metrics vs prior periods and S&P Global consensus

MetricQ3 2024Q2 2025Q3 2025S&P Consensus*
Net Revenue (Revenues less cost of rev.) ($m)532.0 587.3 605.5 592.4*
Diluted EPS ($)2.07 2.23 2.85
Adjusted Diluted EPS ($)2.22 2.46 2.67 2.53*
Operating Margin (%)57.8% 57.7% 61.2%
Adjusted Operating Margin (%)61.7% 63.7% 65.3%
Operating Expenses ($m)224.6 248.2 235.2
Adjusted Operating Expenses ($m)204.0 213.3 210.2
Operating EBITDA ($m)339.2 369.0 401.2
Adjusted Operating EBITDA ($m)339.1 386.7 409.0 386.5*
  • Q3 beats: Adjusted EPS beat by ~$0.14 vs $2.53*; Net revenue beat by ~$13.1m vs $592.4m*; Adjusted operating EBITDA beat by ~$22.5m vs $386.5m*. Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Segment net revenue (Q3 2025 vs Q3 2024)

Segment Net Revenue ($m)Q3 2024Q3 2025
Options320.9 380.8
North American Equities98.0 103.5
Europe & APAC55.6 69.1
Futures38.0 29.6
Global FX20.0 22.5
Total Net Revenue532.0 605.5

KPIs (operating drivers)

KPIQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Total Options ADV (000s)18,183 17,301 18,775
Index Options ADV (000s)4,771 4,686 4,864
Total Options Market Share (%)31.1 30.2 30.9
Total Options RPC ($)0.287 0.300 0.281
U.S. Equities – Exchange Market Share (%)10.5 10.5 9.8
U.S. Equities – Off-Exchange ATS Block Share (%)17.7 15.2 16.6
U.S. Off-Exchange Net Capture ($/100 touched shrs)0.117 0.082 0.064
European Equities Market Share (%)24.8 25.1 25.4
Futures ADV (000s)249.4 220.8 200.7
Futures RPC ($)1.740 1.673 1.745
Global FX ADNV ($bn)51.9 55.9 49.9
Global FX Net Capture ($/mm)2.77 2.81 2.89

Non‑GAAP adjustments in Q3 included: amortization of acquired intangibles ($17.2m), impairment of assets ($4.5m), executive compensation adjustment ($0.6m), wind‑down related costs ($2.5m), and a negative adjustment reflecting investment gains (–$51.0m), among other items .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious Guidance (Q2’25)Current Guidance (Q3’25)Change
Organic Total Net Revenue GrowthFY2025High single-digit Low double‑digit to mid‑teens Raised
Data Vantage Organic Net Revenue GrowthFY2025Mid to high single‑digit High single‑digit to low double‑digit Raised
Adjusted Operating Expenses ($m)FY2025$832–$847 $827–$842 Lowered
Depreciation & Amortization excl. acquired intangibles ($m)FY2025$53–$57 $50–$54 Lowered
Effective Tax Rate on Adjusted Earnings (%)FY202528.5–30.5 (reaffirmed) 28.5–30.5 (reaffirmed) Maintained
Capital Expenditures ($m)FY2025$75–$85 $73–$83 Lowered
Dividend per shareQ4 2025Prior payout $0.63 paid in Q2 Declared $0.72 for Q4’25 Raised

Strategic actions (expected annualized impact vs 2025 guided ranges): ~3% reduction in net revenue and ~8–10% reduction in adjusted opex inclusive of Japan wind‑down .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicQ1 2025 (Q‑2)Q2 2025 (Q‑1)Q3 2025 (Current)Trend
Options momentum & 0DTEBroad strength; SPX +13% ADV; XSP +61%; VIX options +33%; 0DTE adoption rising Options net revenue +19%; total options ADV +20%; SPX demand strong; Japan wind‑down announced Record options: ADV +26% y/y; SPX/XSP quarterly records; 0DTE growth tied to product design and market structure Improving
Data VantageOrganic growth >8% with new products (dedicated cores, time stamping) +11% y/y; reaffirmed growth range +12% y/y; ~90% growth from new sales; growth range raised Improving
Multi‑listed options competitionFocused execution; market share leadership maintained U.S. on‑exchange share 10.5%; multi‑listed RPC +10 bps y/y Management highlighting renewed ML focus; competitive adds to team; industry moving to ~20 exchanges in early 2026 Mixed
International strategyExpansion in APAC; onboarding clients in Korea/Taiwan; international data sales + Wind‑down Cboe Japan; Europe share 25.1% Portfolio realignment: begin sale of Australia/Canada; maintain Europe leadership (25.4% share) Refocus
FuturesQ1 growth +8% –14% y/y on lower ADV –22% y/y on lower ADV; RPC stable Deteriorating
Retail/alt productsNew SVP to lead retail expansion and alt products (event, prediction, crypto derivatives, tokenized) Emerging
Regulatory/taxAdjusted ETR guidance reaffirmed; actual adjusted ETR 30.4% (up y/y on uncertain tax positions) Stable

Management Commentary

  • “This strategic realignment of our business portfolio and human capital ensures Cboe is well positioned to succeed in a dynamic and evolving market and supports our long-term vision to be a global derivatives leader.” — CEO Craig Donohue .
  • “Adjusted operating EBITDA of $409 million grew 21% and adjusted operating EBITDA margin expanded by 3.8 percentage points to 67.5% versus the third quarter of 2024.” — CFO Jill Griebenow .
  • “Nearly 90% of the growth across our market data and access businesses was driven by new unit and new sales as opposed to pricing.” — Prepared remarks (earnings script) .
  • On retail expansion: Cboe appointed JJ Kinahan to lead a new vertical focused on event-based trading, prediction markets, crypto derivatives, and tokenized instruments .

Q&A Highlights

  • Multi‑listed options competitiveness: Management emphasized deeper focus/investment and key hires to enhance positioning in a highly competitive multi-listed landscape (industry moving toward ~20 exchanges in 2026) .
  • Trading hours expansion: Cboe filed to add pre‑open (7:30–9:25 ET) and post‑close (4:00–4:15 ET) U.S. equity options sessions, starting with ~25 large, liquid names — a step toward broader 24x5 access .
  • Global footprint: Realignment shifts emphasis toward U.S./Europe with commitment to European leadership; expected financial impact of actions implies divested units around break‑even on profitability (revenue –3%, opex –8–10% run‑rate) .
  • New markets: Management outlined building toward prediction markets and digital assets (financial/economic contracts first), with potential inorganic steps to scale .

Estimates Context

  • Adjusted EPS: $2.67 actual vs $2.53 S&P Global consensus mean* (beat ~$0.14). Values retrieved from S&P Global.
  • Revenue: Cboe’s reported net revenue (revenue less cost of revenue) was $605.5m; S&P Global Revenue Consensus Mean is $592.4m* for Q3’25, which aligns with the industry practice of modeling Cboe on net revenue, implying a ~$13.1m beat. Values retrieved from S&P Global. Actual net revenue from company materials: $605.5m .
  • EBITDA: Adjusted operating EBITDA $409.0m vs S&P Global EBITDA Consensus Mean $386.5m* (beat ~$22.5m). Values retrieved from S&P Global. Company actual: $409.0m .
  • Note: Cboe also reports Total Revenues ($1,141.7m) and “Revenues less cost of revenues” (Net Revenue, $605.5m); Street models typically compare on Net Revenue for Cboe .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Core derivatives engine is accelerating: record options volumes, expanding adjusted margins, and raised organic growth guidance support positive estimate revisions and multiple support .
  • Expense discipline as an earnings lever: lowered adjusted opex, D&A, and capex guidance point to continued operating leverage into Q4 and FY25 exit rates .
  • Strategic portfolio pruning: exiting/lowering exposure to lower‑return or non-core units (Canada, Australia, Japan, certain listings/derivatives initiatives) should streamline focus and improve profitability mix (~8–10% opex run‑rate reduction) .
  • Watch futures: continued weakness in futures ADV offset by stable RPC; recovery or product refresh/launches (e.g., Magnificent 10/continuous futures per Nov releases) could alter trajectory .
  • U.S. equities headwinds: lower on‑exchange share and net capture warrant monitoring; initiatives in pre/post trading hours and retail-focused products may help offset over time .
  • Data Vantage quality of growth: majority from new units/sales (not price) plus raised growth range enhances durability and visibility of non‑transaction revenues .
  • Near‑term catalysts: execution on divestitures, further product launches, potential approval of expanded trading hours, and quarterly volumes/RPC prints (monthly updates) .

Appendix: Primary Sources Read

  • 8‑K 2.02 and press release: Q3’25 results and strategic realignment .
  • Prior quarters: Q2’25 8‑K/PR ; Q1’25 8‑K/PR .
  • Other Q3’25 releases: dividend declaration ($0.72) ; September volumes & RPC guide ; leadership appointments ; retail market expansion hire .
  • Earnings call: Prepared remarks (earnings script PDF) and transcript coverage .

Footnote: Asterisked consensus figures are Values retrieved from S&P Global.